Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Mineiro v Coritiba

2026-10-17 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 63.94%1.56cote équitable
EV -0.254%
Avantage -0.163%
Kelly -0.454%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.15%63.57%63.95%65.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.311.471.481.5676.34%67.96%67.57%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Coritiba (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.01%7.14cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.279%
Kelly -0.326%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.28%14.28%13.98%16.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.286.407.0018.18%15.91%15.63%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.05%4.53cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.519%
Kelly -0.670%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.08%22.15%22.07%23.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.114.104.4326.32%24.31%24.39%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Atletico Mineiro (Local) : 63.94% ; Coritiba (Visiteur) : 14.01% ; Match nul : 22.05%. Pour Atletico Mineiro (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.564. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.560, pour une espérance de -0.254% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.69%EV -0.254%E -0.163%K -0.454%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.40%EV -12.46%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.69%EV -0.254%E -0.163%K -0.454%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.40%EV -12.46%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -15.96%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -15.96%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -15.96%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -15.96%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -15.96%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -15.96%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.17%EV -3.45%E -2.29%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -15.09%E -3.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -4.51%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -4.51%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.36%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.58%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 13:59
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.36%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.58%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.33%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.16%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.09%E -3.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.33%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.16%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.09%E -3.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.33%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.16%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.09%E -3.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.11%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.50%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.81%EV -2.52%E -0.362%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.69%EV -2.30%E -0.519%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -17.36%E -2.94%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -1.96%E -0.279%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -1.96%E -0.279%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -17.36%E -2.94%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -8.47%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 13:58
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -1.96%E -0.279%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.96%E -0.673%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.96%E -0.279%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.96%E -0.279%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 13:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.05%EV -7.56%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.96%E -0.279%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.96%E -0.673%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 13:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.10%EV -9.85%E -6.98%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.12%EV -10.36%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.78%EV -8.47%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.96%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -22.97%E -4.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-10 13:57
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.34%EV -11.12%E -8.00%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -18.76%E -3.24%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -9.58%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.84%EV -11.76%E -8.52%K -30.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.48%EV -21.57%E -3.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 65.16%EV -16.24%E -12.40%K -52.38%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.77%EV -13.16%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.08%EV -10.68%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 62.49%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.92%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.59%3.9%2026-10-10 19:35
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 62.46%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.86%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.68%16.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 25.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 36.85%142.3%2026-10-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 25.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 36.85%142.3%2026-10-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 24.94%1.06I 94.34%NM 37.88%1.08I 92.59%NM 37.18%149.0%2026-10-10 16:30