La scuola delle quote

Atletico Mineiro v Botafogo

Inizio: 2026-05-10 19:00 UTC

Finale: Atletico Mineiro 1–1 Botafogo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 42.92%2.33quota equa
EV +0.012%
Vantaggio +0.005%
Kelly +0.009%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.59%43.00%42.81%44.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.152.3350.00%46.52%46.51%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.90%3.46quota equa
EV +2.01%
Vantaggio +0.569%
Kelly +0.794%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.98%28.86%28.95%30.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.253.253.5333.90%30.76%30.77%28.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.18%3.55quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.557%
Kelly -0.781%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.43%28.14%28.24%30.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.293.303.4835.71%30.39%30.30%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -6.86%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV +2.01%E +0.569%K +0.794%G +0.016%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.13%EV -7.86%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.13%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV +1.14%E +0.326%K +0.456%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.78%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 18:54
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.13%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV +1.14%E +0.326%K +0.456%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.78%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 18:54
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -0.304%E -0.088%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -0.304%E -0.088%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:49
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -0.304%E -0.088%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:49
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -0.304%E -0.088%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:49
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -0.304%E -0.088%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.75%E -0.514%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:54
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -1.75%E -0.514%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 18:14
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -11.15%E -5.39%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -1.75%E -0.514%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:49
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.55%EV -2.04%E -0.601%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -2.78%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 18:54
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.74%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -3.19%E -0.953%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -3.35%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:19
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.74%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -3.19%E -0.953%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -3.35%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:19
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -5.14%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.19%E -0.953%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -3.19%E -0.953%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 18:54
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.19%E -0.953%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 18:49
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.19%E -0.953%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 18:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:35
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:34
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -6.86%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:53
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -6.86%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:54
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -6.86%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:48
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:44
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 18:54
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.28%E -3.37%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -5.22%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.57%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 18:50
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.71%E -2.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 18:34
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:48
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:45
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -9.00%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:45
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -12.44%E -6.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 18:54
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -12.44%E -6.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 18:54
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:34
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:34
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:34
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 18:44
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 18:49
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.59%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.57%EV -8.40%E -2.65%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.84%EV -1.94%E -0.557%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 18:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 18:39
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 18:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 18:40
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 18:44
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 18:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 18:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.06%EV -11.28%E -3.68%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.39%E -3.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 18:33
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 18:34
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 18:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-10 18:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.15%E -7.08%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -21.10%E -7.54%K -11.72%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-10 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -14.75%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 18:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-10 18:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-10 18:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-10 18:45
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-10 18:49
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-10 18:50
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-05-10 18:55