La escuela de los momios

Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise

Inicio: 2026-03-01 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 21.18%4.72momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.556%
Kelly -0.710%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.34%21.20%21.21%22.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.354.404.6026.67%22.97%22.73%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visitante)

Predicción 54.14%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%54.13%54.17%55.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.731.7861.73%58.11%57.80%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.436%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.88%24.67%24.62%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.743.774.0031.25%26.71%26.53%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.41%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 11:44
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 14:28
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.56%E -0.556%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 14:29
LowVig.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV -3.62%E -0.795%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 14:29
BetOnline.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV -3.62%E -0.795%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Pinnacle4.54I 22.03%NM 21.24%EV -3.83%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.17%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.60%EV -3.28%E -0.837%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 14:29
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 11:29
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -4.71%E -2.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.54%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 14:29
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.41%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:29
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 11:44
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 11:44
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.67%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 11:44
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:30
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:29
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:29
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:27
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:29
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 14:29
Suprabets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.68%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 14:25
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 14:30
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 14:29
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 14:29
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 14:29
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 14:29
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.79%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 14:29
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 14:29
Betsson4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 14:29
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -7.41%E -4.34%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 14:29
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:29
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.28%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:29
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -8.91%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -4.17%E -2.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 10:59
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:29
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -9.97%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:30
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:30
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 10:59
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 14:29
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 13:59
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -11.03%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.29%E -7.58%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 14:30
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 09:55
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -13.15%E -3.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.26%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -6.87%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 14:29
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 14:00
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -15.27%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 13:59
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -17.38%E -4.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82%EV -10.12%E -6.10%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.29%EV -20.56%E -5.48%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.59%EV -12.29%E -7.58%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -21.05%E -6.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 14:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-03-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-03-01 14:30
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-03-01 14:29