Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Westerlo v SV Zulte-Waregem

Inicio: 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC

Final: Westerlo 2–2 SV Zulte-Waregem

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 33.59%2.98momio equitativo
EV +4.11%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.96%
Crecimiento +0.081%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.10%33.51%33.65%35.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.812.803.1040.00%35.55%35.71%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante)

Predicción 40.69%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.76%40.80%40.55%42.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3947.62%44.57%44.44%41.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.73%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.590%
Kelly -0.800%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.69%25.80%26.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.563.603.8029.85%28.07%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Westerlo (Local): 33.59%; SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante): 40.69%; Empate: 25.73%. Para Westerlo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.98. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.11%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV +4.11%E +1.33%K +1.96%G +0.081%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.85%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV +4.11%E +1.33%K +1.96%G +0.081%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.85%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 17:10
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.10%EV +2.44%E +0.799%K +1.19%G +0.029%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%EV -9.26%E -4.15%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.88%EV +2.10%E +0.691%K +1.03%G +0.022%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.78%EV -5.60%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.33%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:10
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:08
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.24%E -0.590%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 06:10
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -12.93%E -6.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -12.93%E -6.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -12.93%E -6.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:10
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -3.27%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -3.27%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.31%EV -12.93%E -6.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -3.27%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.38%EV -13.74%E -6.48%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 17:10
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -3.61%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -3.61%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -2.75%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.50%E -0.659%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.55%E -6.93%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -13.82%E -4.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.55%E -6.93%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -13.82%E -4.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.19%EV -4.62%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.60%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.19%EV -4.62%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.60%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:10
BetUS🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.19%EV -4.62%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.60%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:10
BetAnything🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.19%EV -4.62%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.60%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:10
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.24%E -0.590%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:09
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 17:10
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.71%EV -6.63%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.71%EV -6.63%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:00
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:03
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.53%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:10
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.23%EV -8.31%E -3.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.20%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.67%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 16:59
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -7.23%E -3.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.11%EV -11.71%E -5.39%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.45%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -12.52%E -5.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -12.52%E -5.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.01%E -4.58%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -12.52%E -5.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.68%E -4.88%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -13.74%E -6.48%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.85%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95%0.1%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.7%2026-08-30 17:10
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-30 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-30 17:05
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.27%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-08-30 17:10