La escuela de los momios

Westerlo v Standard Liege

Inicio: 2026-05-19 18:34 UTC

Final: Westerlo 1–2 Standard Liege

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 49.28%2.03momio equitativo
EV +2.50%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +2.31%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.61%49.22%49.25%50.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.911.912.0856.18%52.29%52.36%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Standard Liege (Visitante)

Predicción 26.63%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.326%
Kelly -0.446%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.68%26.62%28.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.403.7132.26%29.44%29.41%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.09%4.15momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.659%
Kelly -0.876%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.92%24.10%24.13%26.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.733.804.0432.26%26.84%26.32%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%EV +2.50%E +1.20%K +2.31%G +0.058%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -8.45%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 18:30
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%EV +2.50%E +1.20%K +2.31%G +0.058%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -8.45%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 18:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -0.458%E -0.227%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -0.458%E -0.227%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -0.458%E -0.227%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 18:30
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -0.458%E -0.227%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 18:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -1.44%E -0.722%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -14.47%E -4.08%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -15.67%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 18:30
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.33%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -2.81%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.05%EV -2.66%E -0.659%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-19 18:29
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -15.67%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 18:30
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -15.67%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 18:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.78%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -16.88%E -4.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.89%E -2.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -1.21%E -0.326%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.91%EV -2.66%E -0.659%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 18:29
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.89%E -2.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 18:29
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.66%EV -4.89%E -2.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -17.45%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -18.08%E -5.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-19 18:30
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -17.45%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -19.29%E -5.76%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-19 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -17.45%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -19.29%E -5.76%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-19 18:30
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.45%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 18:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.45%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 18:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.45%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 18:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.45%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 18:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 18:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.63%E -0.907%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 18:28
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 18:29
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 18:29
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 18:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 18:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 18:29
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.23%EV -6.37%E -3.35%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.42%EV -7.72%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:27
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.37%E -3.35%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 18:29
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.37%E -3.35%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 18:26
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -6.86%E -3.63%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -7.48%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 18:29
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -7.36%E -3.91%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -7.36%E -3.91%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.85%E -4.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:29
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -7.85%E -4.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.85%E -2.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 18:30
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -8.34%E -4.49%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.81%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.63%E -0.907%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -8.34%E -4.49%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.81%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.63%E -0.907%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:30
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -8.34%E -4.49%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.81%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.63%E -0.907%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -8.34%E -4.49%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -3.63%E -0.907%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 18:30
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.85%E -2.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-19 18:30
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-19 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -9.33%E -5.07%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -9.82%E -5.37%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -12.06%E -3.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-19 18:29
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -9.82%E -5.37%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.45%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.67%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-19 18:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.30%E -6.28%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.45%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.27%EV -11.30%E -6.28%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -17.45%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -25.31%E -8.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-19 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.53%EV -12.28%E -6.90%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.06%E -3.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-19 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-19 18:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-05-19 18:30