La escuela de los momios

Westerlo v Royal Antwerp

Inicio: 2026-04-25 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 45.52%2.20momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -4.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%45.41%45.42%46.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.052.1052.36%49.39%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Royal Antwerp (Visitante)

Predicción 27.73%3.61momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.605%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%27.86%27.76%29.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.353.5533.33%30.05%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.75%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.277%
Kelly -0.379%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%26.72%26.82%28.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.463.503.7034.72%28.93%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:09
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.68%EV -4.87%E -2.33%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.04%EV -5.57%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 12:29
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.54%E -0.435%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -1.02%E -0.277%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 16:25
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.54%E -0.435%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -1.02%E -0.277%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 16:20
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.43%EV -3.76%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 19:05
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:49
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 20:09
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -6.24%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:25
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -6.24%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:25
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -6.24%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:24
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.93%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:29
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:29
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:32
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:49
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 19:30
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:29
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.15%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:20
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:20
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:24
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Suprabets2.02I 49.50%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.56%EV -7.64%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 06:33
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -8.06%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:59
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 19:18
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 06:34
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.25%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 18:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -14.02%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 13:48
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.02%E -4.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.79%EV -9.88%E -4.99%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.31%EV -7.92%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.90%EV -9.85%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 18:46
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.23%EV -9.88%E -4.99%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -12.64%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.33%E -5.25%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -10.33%E -5.25%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 18:49
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -12.64%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 21:30
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 13:49
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -11.70%E -6.03%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -11.70%E -6.03%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.04%EV -12.61%E -6.57%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -15.41%E -5.05%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -13.06%E -4.02%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-22 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -13.07%E -6.84%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -22.96%E -7.97%K -12.21%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-23 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%4.0%2026-04-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%4.0%2026-04-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%4.0%2026-04-23 14:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%4.8%2026-04-23 16:15
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%7.1%2026-04-24 00:20
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 45.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%11.4%2026-04-23 10:09