La escuela de los momios

Westerlo v Charleroi

Inicio: 2026-02-22 18:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 35.61%2.81momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.527%
Kelly +0.812%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.00%35.55%35.65%37.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.612.8541.67%38.28%38.31%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charleroi (Visitante)

Predicción 36.78%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.86%36.83%36.68%38.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.532.552.6545.45%39.59%39.22%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV +0.209%
Ventaja +0.058%
Kelly +0.079%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.61%27.67%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.313.6334.72%30.11%30.17%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%EV +1.50%E +0.527%K +0.812%G +0.012%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 18:05
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.43%EV +0.433%E +0.154%K +0.238%G +0.001%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.74%EV +0.209%E +0.058%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 18:10
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.06%E -0.749%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.53%E -0.956%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.06%E -0.749%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.53%E -0.956%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 17:55
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -2.06%E -0.749%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 18:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.07%EV -2.53%E -0.956%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:55
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.07%EV -2.53%E -0.956%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.09%EV -3.27%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.09%EV -3.27%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.38%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 17:50
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.38%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.38%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 17:50
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 18:10
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:10
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:10
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 17:55
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 17:54
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 17:55
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 18:05
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:50
Suprabets2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -6.33%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.38%EV -5.48%E -2.13%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -8.07%E -2.42%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 18:09
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.33%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 17:55
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.33%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 17:55
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.33%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 17:55
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -5.11%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:10
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 18:10
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 18:10
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:05
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:10
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 17:55
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.42%E -4.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 17:50
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 34.78%EV -8.47%E -3.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.72%EV -12.83%E -5.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 17:54
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:04
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 17:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 17:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -13.57%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-22 17:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.38%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 18:04
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 18:09
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 18:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 17:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.42%E -4.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -10.96%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -17.18%E -5.73%K -8.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.54%EV -12.03%E -4.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.04%EV -12.83%E -5.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.74%E -5.20%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.57%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -19.08%E -8.67%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -20.50%E -7.12%K -10.90%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-22 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-02-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-02-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-02-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-02-22 18:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-02-22 18:10