La escuela de los momios

Union Saint-Gilloise v Genk

Inicio: 2026-03-07 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Predicción 58.09%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.738%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.98%57.92%58.16%58.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.621.7066.67%62.05%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 17.96%5.57momio equitativo
EV +3.26%
Ventaja +0.567%
Kelly +0.686%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.72%17.97%17.95%19.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.005.7522.22%19.65%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.96%4.17momio equitativo
EV -0.581%
Ventaja -0.140%
Kelly -0.185%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.96%24.11%23.89%25.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.823.854.1530.77%26.19%25.97%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.63%EV -4.74%E -2.89%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +3.26%E +0.567%K +0.686%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.63%EV -4.74%E -2.89%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +3.26%E +0.567%K +0.686%G +0.022%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 19:29
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.84%EV +3.08%E +0.537%K +0.650%G +0.020%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.59%EV -5.85%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 19:39
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.23%E -0.224%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:29
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.11%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.23%E -0.224%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.88%EV -9.92%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:37
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.23%E -0.224%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:34
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -4.82%E -0.910%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:14
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 18:54
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:30
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.96%EV -10.40%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:28
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:29
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -7.64%E -4.81%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.72%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:35
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -2.42%E -1.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV -6.62%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -2.42%E -1.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV -6.62%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -6.62%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 19:29
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.85%EV -2.42%E -1.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.73%EV -6.80%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -0.581%E -0.140%K -0.185%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 19:34
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:40
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 19:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 19:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 19:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:30
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:35
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:34
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:39
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:39
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 19:09
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:09
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.21%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.08%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.07%EV -11.11%E -2.24%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 19:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.36%EV -1.25%E -0.738%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:39
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.36%EV -1.25%E -0.738%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.90%EV -10.64%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 19:26
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -13.80%E -2.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 19:14
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -13.80%E -2.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 19:39
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -13.80%E -2.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 19:39
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.03%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.80%E -2.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-07 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -11.71%E -7.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -13.80%E -2.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 19:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -14.70%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -16.15%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 19:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -12.87%E -8.58%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -14.70%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.61%EV -11.71%E -7.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -17.39%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.87%E -8.58%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -19.19%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -22.14%E -6.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-07 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-03-07 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-03-07 19:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.66%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-03-07 19:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-03-07 19:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.48%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-03-07 19:35