La escuela de los momios

SV Zulte-Waregem v RAAL La Louvière

Inicio: 2026-04-26 17:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Predicción 46.75%2.14momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.20%46.78%46.76%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.982.002.0854.64%50.46%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

RAAL La Louvière (Visitante)

Predicción 26.17%3.82momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.43%26.18%26.11%26.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.513.503.6531.25%28.52%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.08%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.696%
Kelly -0.963%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.05%27.13%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.403.6034.72%29.37%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -2.51%E -0.696%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 13:10
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -2.51%E -0.696%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 13:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:38
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:39
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:10
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.38%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -3.59%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:50
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.62%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.20%EV -5.01%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:19
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 13:10
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 13:10
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 13:10
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 13:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:20
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 13:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 13:10
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 13:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:13
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 18:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 18:50
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.98%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 18:09
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -6.97%E -3.50%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.36%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -5.75%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:48
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 07:45
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:20
Suprabets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.42%EV -9.19%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.28%EV -9.00%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -7.90%E -4.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 13:10
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.51%E -0.696%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 07:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 17:45
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 07:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 00:19
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -9.31%E -4.80%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 13:10
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -9.31%E -4.80%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -10.24%E -5.33%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 23:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.71%E -5.61%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 19:29
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.71%E -5.61%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 07:45
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.79%EV -10.71%E -5.61%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -10.50%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 07:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.71%E -5.61%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -11.18%E -5.88%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 08:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -11.18%E -5.88%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.47%EV -11.18%E -5.88%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.98%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.43%EV -13.05%E -7.01%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -16.26%E -5.08%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.57%EV -11.98%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.30%EV -14.45%E -7.90%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.91%EV -16.26%E -5.08%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.79%EV -22.00%E -7.64%K -11.70%G +0.000%20.6%2026-04-23 20:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 44.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.91%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.91%10.9%2026-04-24 00:39
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%11.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%13.2%2026-04-23 20:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 32.53%2.28I 43.86%NM 28.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 38.65%52.2%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 32.53%2.28I 43.86%NM 28.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 38.65%52.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 32.53%2.28I 43.86%NM 28.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 38.65%52.2%2026-04-23 22:09