Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SK Beveren v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 17:15 UTC

Score final : SK Beveren 3–0 Leuven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SK Beveren (Local)

Prévision 44.60%2.24cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.80%44.63%44.64%46.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.082.1751.28%48.35%48.08%46.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.64%3.49cote équitable
EV +0.232%
Avantage +0.066%
Kelly +0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.65%28.52%29.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.19%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.76%3.74cote équitable
EV -0.995%
Avantage -0.269%
Kelly -0.369%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%26.72%26.84%27.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.453.453.7030.77%28.95%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SK Beveren (Local) : 44.60% ; Leuven (Visiteur) : 28.64% ; Match nul : 26.76%. Pour Leuven (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.49. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +0.232%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV +0.232%E +0.066%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 17:05
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.44%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -0.341%E -0.098%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.74%EV -3.14%E -0.866%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:50
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -0.995%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -6.78%E -3.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.95%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:10
Suprabets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -8.12%E -3.94%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:50
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.90%E -4.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 16:50
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:10
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 17:03
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -13.02%E -6.68%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -9.90%E -4.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -12.13%E -6.16%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 16:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 17:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -8.12%E -3.94%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 16:50
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.01%E -4.42%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -9.90%E -4.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-09-06 17:10
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-09-06 17:10
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-09-06 16:55