Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SK Beveren v Anderlecht

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : SK Beveren 1–0 Anderlecht

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SK Beveren (Local)

Prévision 30.86%3.24cote équitable
EV +0.604%
Avantage +0.185%
Kelly +0.267%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.89%30.75%30.87%32.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.2635.71%33.27%33.33%30.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Anderlecht (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.72%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%42.80%42.75%44.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.37%46.08%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.42%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.462%
Kelly -0.632%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.46%26.37%27.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.453.7231.25%28.98%28.99%26.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SK Beveren (Local) : 30.86% ; Anderlecht (Visiteur) : 42.72% ; Match nul : 26.42%. Pour SK Beveren (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.24. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.26, soit une espérance positive de +0.604%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +0.604%E +0.185%K +0.267%G +0.002%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.24%EV -6.44%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -1.72%E -0.462%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 11:24
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -1.25%E -0.390%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:20
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.41%EV -1.86%E -0.586%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -3.30%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 11:15
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 11:15
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.72%E -3.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.00%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.30%E -3.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.30%E -3.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:25
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.30%E -3.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:24
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.30%E -3.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 21:09
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -14.56%E -7.28%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.13%EV -6.80%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.38%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 11:14
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 11:11
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:24
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:25
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.25%E -0.608%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 11:23
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.25%E -0.608%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 11:24
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:24
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:25
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:24
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.25%E -0.608%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 11:24
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:24
theScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.64%EV -11.14%E -5.36%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -8.96%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.64%EV -11.14%E -5.36%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 11:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.59%EV -9.89%E -3.39%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.57%E -5.59%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 11:19
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 11:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 11:14
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.12%E -3.86%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 09:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 11:14
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -6.02%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -11.57%E -5.59%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -15.46%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-16 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -13.59%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.28%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-08-16 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-08-16 11:25
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-08-16 11:25
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-16 11:10