La escuela de los momios

Sint Truiden v Anderlecht

Inicio: 2026-04-23 18:47 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Predicción 49.27%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.733%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.61%49.18%49.32%50.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.892.0055.56%53.05%52.91%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Predicción 25.03%3.99momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.607%
Kelly -0.816%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.22%25.13%24.96%26.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.713.753.9030.30%26.98%26.67%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.70%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -0.837%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.33%25.69%25.72%27.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.583.603.8033.33%27.93%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -1.47%E -0.733%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.34%E -0.617%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 18:45
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.67%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -2.37%E -0.607%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.34%E -0.617%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 18:44
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.67%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -2.37%E -0.607%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.34%E -0.617%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 18:44
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:39
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:39
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 48.91%EV -4.91%E -2.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.65%EV -4.12%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.44%EV -8.26%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.62%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:44
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.62%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:44
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:44
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.37%E -0.607%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.37%E -0.607%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.37%E -0.607%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:44
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:44
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:33
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:44
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:44
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:44
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.97%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:45
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:44
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:44
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:44
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:44
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:44
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.62%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.62%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:44
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:32
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:45
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:45
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:45
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.34%E -0.617%K -0.837%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:44
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:41
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -8.36%E -4.50%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -9.35%E -5.08%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.35%E -5.08%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.74%EV -7.88%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.79%EV -9.28%E -2.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:43
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -9.35%E -5.08%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:44
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 18:44
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 18:34
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 18:34
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -10.33%E -5.68%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -10.33%E -5.68%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 18:44
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -16.14%E -4.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 18:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.39%E -5.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -22.90%E -7.63%K -11.45%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-23 18:42
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-23 18:45
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%2.7%2026-04-23 18:45
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%3.4%2026-04-23 18:45
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%8.1%2026-04-23 18:45