L’École des cotes

Royal Antwerp v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 18:45 UTC

Score final : Royal Antwerp 2–0 Westerlo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prévision 48.85%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%48.72%48.88%50.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.881.912.0057.80%53.16%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.91%3.72cote équitable
EV +6.30%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.134%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.58%27.01%26.88%29.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.493.503.9533.33%28.69%28.57%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.24%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.760%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%24.28%24.25%26.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.733.754.0032.26%26.78%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV +6.30%E +1.59%K +2.13%G +0.134%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.84%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV +6.30%E +1.59%K +2.13%G +0.134%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:40
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.03%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV +3.61%E +0.937%K +1.27%G +0.046%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%EV -4.98%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.916%E +0.244%K +0.333%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.916%E +0.244%K +0.333%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.916%E +0.244%K +0.333%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.916%E +0.244%K +0.333%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:36
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -1.78%E -0.486%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:39
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 49.25%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.26%EV -2.58%E -0.713%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -5.95%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -2.58%E -0.713%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:40
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.18%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.29%EV -2.85%E -0.790%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.53%EV -6.19%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.03%EV -11.58%E -6.40%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.03%EV -11.58%E -6.40%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:39
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.03%EV -11.58%E -6.40%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Suprabets1.91I 52.36%NM 48.97%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.68%EV -8.13%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:32
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -11.58%E -6.40%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.96%EV -12.56%E -7.02%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:37
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:29
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:29
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:19
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -13.54%E -7.65%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.88%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 49.86%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 49.86%EV -14.03%E -7.97%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:40
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:38
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:40
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -11.58%E -6.40%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.25%EV -11.10%E -6.10%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.52%EV -9.04%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -10.12%E -5.50%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:39
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 18:40
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 18:40
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.63%E -5.21%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 17:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -12.07%E -6.71%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -16.58%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -16.58%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 46.84%EV -15.49%E -8.95%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.01%EV -19.27%E -6.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.14%EV -24.86%E -8.02%K -11.84%G +0.000%23.4%2026-05-23 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-05-23 18:40