La escuela de los momios

Royal Antwerp v Sint Truiden

Inicio: 2026-02-28 17:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Predicción 29.69%3.37momio equitativo
EV +0.930%
Ventaja +0.273%
Kelly +0.387%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.55%29.64%29.70%32.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.143.153.4035.09%31.85%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sint Truiden (Visitante)

Predicción 43.47%2.30momio equitativo
EV +2.14%
Ventaja +0.912%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.64%43.54%43.47%45.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.132.152.3552.36%46.86%46.51%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.324%
Kelly -0.446%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.82%26.83%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.433.503.6834.72%29.12%28.57%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV +2.14%E +0.912%K +1.59%G +0.034%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:08
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.34%EV -1.19%E -0.324%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:04
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -3.51%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.54%E -0.699%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 17:05
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV +0.930%E +0.273%K +0.387%G +0.004%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:05
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV +0.930%E +0.273%K +0.387%G +0.004%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:05
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV +0.930%E +0.273%K +0.387%G +0.004%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:05
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:00
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:09
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 16:55
Suprabets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.10%EV -7.68%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.15%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 16:58
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:55
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.53%EV -6.19%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.19%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -8.17%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.04%E -0.618%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:20
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 16:55
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:09
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 13:20
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:04
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 16:55
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 16:55
BetUS3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -0.258%E -0.077%K -0.109%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.31%EV -7.42%E -3.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -8.17%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 16:55
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 16:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -10.03%E -4.84%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 16:55
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -10.03%E -4.84%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 16:55
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.22%EV -13.32%E -4.56%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.63%EV -10.03%E -4.84%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 17:09
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV +0.930%E +0.273%K +0.387%G +0.004%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 16:05
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -11.54%E -3.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -9.52%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 16:59
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -15.40%E -5.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 17:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-28 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -14.51%E -5.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -16.98%E -8.89%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -22.67%E -7.87%K -12.06%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-28 17:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 17:09
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-02-28 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-02-28 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-02-28 17:09
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%2.7%2026-02-28 17:04