La escuela de los momios

Royal Antwerp v Genk

Inicio: 2026-04-03 18:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Predicción 32.76%3.05momio equitativo
EV -0.074%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.036%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%32.74%32.73%33.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.872.883.0537.04%34.82%34.78%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 39.38%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.027%
Ventaja +0.010%
Kelly +0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.22%39.44%39.38%41.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.332.5447.62%42.87%42.92%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.715%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%27.82%27.89%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.323.353.5035.71%30.14%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.22%EV +0.027%E +0.010%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.30%EV -4.45%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 18:44
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.69%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.34%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.97%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 18:44
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.32%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:44
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.32%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:44
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.32%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:44
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:44
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 18:43
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.64%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:44
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -7.61%E -2.70%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 18:45
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -7.61%E -2.70%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 18:44
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:43
Suprabets2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -5.97%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.11%EV -5.88%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:41
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -0.074%E -0.024%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%EV -6.27%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:45
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -0.074%E -0.024%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%EV -6.27%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.67%E -2.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.97%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -6.67%E -2.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:34
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:44
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 18:44
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 18:45
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.90%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 18:44
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.85%E -3.35%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.63%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 18:44
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -0.074%E -0.024%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00%EV -8.24%E -3.54%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:45
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -8.24%E -3.54%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 18:45
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -8.24%E -3.54%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 18:45
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 18:45
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 18:44
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -1.71%E -0.571%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 18:45
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.34%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:39
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 18:45
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 18:44
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 18:44
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.54%E -4.27%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 18:44
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.54%E -4.27%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 18:44
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 18:44
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 18:44
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.26%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 18:45
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 18:44
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 18:45
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:45
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.82%EV -11.54%E -4.27%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.04%EV -10.61%E -4.67%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.13%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 18:44
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.54%E -4.27%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 18:45
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.90%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.54%E -4.27%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-03 18:45
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -5.64%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -12.18%E -5.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 18:44
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -9.90%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -16.43%E -5.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-03 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -11.54%E -4.27%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -17.30%E -8.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -22.00%E -7.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-04-03 18:45
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%2.8%2026-04-03 18:45
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%9.0%2026-04-03 18:45