La escuela de los momios

RAAL La Louvière v KV Mechelen

Inicio: 2026-02-22 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Predicción 41.08%2.43momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.78%41.08%41.07%42.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.262.292.3748.78%44.21%43.76%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.566%
Ventaja +0.171%
Kelly +0.246%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.32%30.41%30.50%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.053.053.3037.04%32.78%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.44%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%28.51%28.43%30.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.223.253.4036.36%31.02%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV +0.566%E +0.171%K +0.246%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:30
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -1.26%E -0.390%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -1.26%E -0.390%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 20:40
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -2.48%E -0.775%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 12:30
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -2.48%E -0.775%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 12:20
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.81%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.79%E -0.873%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 03:30
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.92%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-20 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-20 13:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-20 13:00
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-20 13:00
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-20 13:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-20 13:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 09:40
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 09:40
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 12:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -10.41%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 12:20
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -10.41%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 12:20
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.92%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.14%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:15
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:40
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 02:26
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:35
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:35
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.41%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-20 13:01
Suprabets2.29I 43.67%NM 40.81%EV -5.92%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.05%EV -8.27%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.15%EV -5.58%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 21:52
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:30
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 02:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 00:30
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:04
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:50
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 20:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 20:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 20:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 20:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-20 05:39
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -13.25%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-21 12:20
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -13.25%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-21 12:20
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-20 05:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.92%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -9.19%E -3.08%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 03:03
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 03:05
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.41%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 20:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 20:40
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.94%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.67%EV -12.54%E -4.37%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 01:47
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -13.72%E -6.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.15%E -4.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-20 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.78%EV -13.72%E -6.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.84%EV -14.67%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -21.79%E -7.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.31%EV -15.78%E -7.70%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.37%EV -17.72%E -6.56%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-02-22 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-02-22 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-02-22 03:05
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 40.56%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-02-22 03:10