Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven v Club Brugge

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 18:45 UTC

Score final : Leuven 0–3 Club Brugge

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 14.99%6.67cote équitable
EV +4.91%
Avantage +0.702%
Kelly +0.819%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.67%15.13%14.95%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.106.186.227.0019.61%16.19%16.06%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Club Brugge (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.36%1.55cote équitable
EV -0.886%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.27%64.24%64.35%65.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5473.53%69.55%69.44%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.65%4.84cote équitable
EV -0.869%
Avantage -0.181%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.69%20.63%20.70%22.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.464.504.8024.39%22.42%22.22%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leuven (Local) : 14.99% ; Club Brugge (Visiteur) : 64.36% ; Match nul : 20.65%. Pour Leuven (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.67. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.91%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV +4.91%E +0.702%K +0.819%G +0.040%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV +4.91%E +0.702%K +0.819%G +0.040%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV +4.91%E +0.702%K +0.819%G +0.040%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 18:35
Pinnacle🎯6.99I 14.31%NM 13.79%EV +4.76%E +0.682%K +0.795%G +0.038%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.12%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.09%EV -5.62%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +1.17%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +1.17%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:34
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +1.17%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:35
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +1.17%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV +0.418%E +0.062%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.61%E -6.06%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Suprabets🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.13%EV -1.08%E -0.164%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.33%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.21%EV -1.83%E -0.279%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.64%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:39
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.58%E -0.397%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -5.39%E -3.67%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.58%E -0.397%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.08%E -0.637%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.08%E -0.637%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:29
BetAnything🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.08%E -0.637%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:30
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -4.08%E -0.637%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -9.25%E -6.56%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -10.16%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:35
1xBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -0.886%E -0.575%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.50%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:19
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -11.19%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -11.19%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:34
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -11.19%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.70%EV -11.18%E -8.10%K -29.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.71%EV -11.83%E -8.63%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -6.33%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.71%EV -11.83%E -8.63%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 18:34
Betsson🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.11%EV -7.08%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -4.10%E -2.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:19
NordicBet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.11%EV -7.08%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -4.10%E -2.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -12.23%E -2.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -8.57%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 18:28
NetBet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -8.57%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.15%EV -10.54%E -7.58%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 18:30
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:34
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:39
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:19
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:19
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:35
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.32%E -5.08%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -10.07%E -1.68%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.47%E -9.17%K -34.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 18:35
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -11.57%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.84%EV -11.83%E -8.63%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 18:29
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -13.82%E -2.40%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -3.46%E -2.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -0.869%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -13.82%E -2.40%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.869%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:35
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -13.82%E -2.40%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.869%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -13.82%E -2.40%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:24
BetUS🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.82%E -2.40%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -5.39%E -3.67%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:39
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -13.82%E -2.40%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.33%E -3.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.82%E -2.40%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -16.07%E -2.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -17.57%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -8.61%E -6.06%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%EV -8.10%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:19
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -17.57%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -22.06%E -4.24%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -23.56%E -4.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.57%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.88%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 16:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-08-15 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-08-15 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-08-15 18:40
Matchbook◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-08-15 18:40
Smarkets◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-08-15 18:40
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-08-15 18:25