Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven v Charleroi

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 33.00%3.03cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -0.842%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.84%32.98%32.98%33.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.802.802.9839.22%35.70%35.71%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Charleroi (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.40%2.54cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.39%39.45%39.44%40.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.352.4547.62%42.84%42.55%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.60%27.57%27.58%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.353.403.5034.72%29.86%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leuven (Local) : 33.00% ; Charleroi (Visiteur) : 39.40% ; Match nul : 27.60%. Pour Leuven (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.03. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.98, pour une espérance de -1.67% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -1.67%E -0.559%K -0.842%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.66%EV -5.04%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -3.47%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 02:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -2.66%E -0.901%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -3.47%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 02:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:49
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 19:01
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:24
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.97%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -4.25%E -1.75%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -5.33%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.97%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.97%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 02:34
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 02:34
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 02:34
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 02:34
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 02:34
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:50
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:50
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:04
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -6.95%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:03
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -6.95%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.95%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.95%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:04
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:00
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -8.19%E -3.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:59
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:24
Suprabets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.11%EV -8.60%E -3.10%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.02%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.87%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:40
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:10
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 08:54
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -10.16%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -10.16%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 08:53
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 08:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 08:54
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 08:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -13.06%E -4.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 14:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -12.56%E -4.74%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 20:20
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.55%E -5.17%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -14.21%E -5.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -17.26%E -8.22%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -20.51%E -7.12%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.8%2026-04-23 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -15.86%E -6.22%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.21%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%4.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%6.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 33.78%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%10.5%2026-04-23 10:09