La escuela de los momios

KV Mechelen v SV Zulte-Waregem

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Predicción 40.64%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.841%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.584%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.25%40.68%40.63%42.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.282.302.4450.00%43.80%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante)

Predicción 32.22%3.10momio equitativo
EV -0.105%
Ventaja -0.034%
Kelly -0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%32.12%32.31%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.882.903.1038.46%34.75%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.14%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -0.888%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.20%27.06%28.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.453.6033.33%29.40%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.74%EV -0.841%E -0.345%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.31%E -0.641%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.36%EV -2.47%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -2.47%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.01%EV -2.47%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.28%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:35
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -3.69%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -7.52%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -3.69%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -7.52%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:34
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.94%EV -5.31%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.94%EV -5.31%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Suprabets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -6.12%E -2.65%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.58%EV -7.52%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.95%EV -5.84%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -5.91%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -5.91%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:56
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:50
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:40
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:56
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:40
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:34
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:25
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -7.75%E -3.41%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.56%E -3.81%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -8.56%E -3.81%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:56
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.56%E -3.81%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -0.105%E -0.034%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:35
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 14:53
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -12.63%E -5.87%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.84%EV -10.74%E -3.88%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.63%E -5.87%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -14.61%E -5.51%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -14.66%E -6.98%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.16%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.05%EV -18.72%E -9.36%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -16.22%E -6.24%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.37%EV -18.59%E -6.20%K -9.29%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-02-28 14:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-02-28 14:55