La escuela de los momios

Gent v Club Brugge

Inicio: 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gent (Local)

Predicción 22.91%4.37momio equitativo
EV +12.25%
Ventaja +2.50%
Kelly +3.14%
Crecimiento +0.385%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.74%22.82%22.98%24.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.174.094.9028.17%24.00%24.45%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Club Brugge (Visitante)

Predicción 54.01%1.85momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -5.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.32%54.20%53.94%58.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.681.701.7764.52%59.51%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.08%4.33momio equitativo
EV +1.55%
Ventaja +0.352%
Kelly +0.455%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.62%22.98%23.08%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.254.054.004.4030.77%24.70%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV +12.25%E +2.50%K +3.14%G +0.385%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.27%EV -10.34%E -6.23%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV +1.55%E +0.352%K +0.455%G +0.007%3.4%2026-04-23 10:44
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV +12.25%E +2.50%K +3.14%G +0.385%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.27%EV -10.34%E -6.23%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV +1.55%E +0.352%K +0.455%G +0.007%3.4%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV +8.82%E +1.86%K +2.35%G +0.207%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -11.96%E -7.34%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV +0.394%E +0.091%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:24
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%EV +8.82%E +1.86%K +2.35%G +0.207%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -11.96%E -7.34%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV +0.394%E +0.091%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:25
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +7.67%E +1.63%K +2.07%G +0.159%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -12.50%E -7.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -0.759%E -0.177%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:24
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +7.67%E +1.63%K +2.07%G +0.159%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -12.50%E -7.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -0.759%E -0.177%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:24
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +7.67%E +1.63%K +2.07%G +0.159%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -12.50%E -7.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -0.759%E -0.177%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:24
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV +7.67%E +1.63%K +2.07%G +0.159%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -13.04%E -8.10%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -0.759%E -0.177%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +7.67%E +1.63%K +2.07%G +0.159%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -1.91%E -0.450%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +7.67%E +1.63%K +2.07%G +0.159%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -1.91%E -0.450%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:44
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +7.67%E +1.63%K +2.07%G +0.159%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -1.91%E -0.450%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV +5.38%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.080%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -15.20%E -9.68%K -26.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.07%E -0.730%K -0.959%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 10:44
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV +3.09%E +0.687%K +0.883%G +0.027%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -15.74%E -10.09%K -28.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.07%E -0.730%K -0.959%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:25
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV +3.09%E +0.687%K +0.883%G +0.027%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -16.28%E -10.50%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV +3.09%E +0.687%K +0.883%G +0.027%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -16.28%E -10.50%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:44
1xBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.78%E -0.901%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.07%E -0.730%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 07:35
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.78%E -0.901%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.78%E -0.901%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 19:45
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.78%E -0.901%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 08:55
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 20:30
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 07:29
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 07:29
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 20:25
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 19:45
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:29
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 09:54
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -14.66%E -9.28%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 08:28
Pinnacle4.08I 24.51%NM 23.25%EV -6.53%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.21%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.53%EV -2.84%E -0.674%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:54
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 07:08
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 20:25
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:29
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 19:45
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:29
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 19:45
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 19:45
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -9.51%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.34%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 09:55
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 11:34
Suprabets3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 12:44
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.30%E -3.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 20:04
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.30%E -3.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 20:05
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.30%E -3.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 20:04
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.30%E -3.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 20:04
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.78%EV -13.04%E -8.10%K -21.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-22 19:45
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.80%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.15%E -2.89%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 07:30
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 20:20
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.30%E -3.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 11:34
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.24%E -4.12%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.21%EV -9.26%E -5.51%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -8.84%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 14:59
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -12.50%E -7.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -24.99%E -7.69%K -11.11%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-22 20:20
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -18.67%E -5.26%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -11.42%E -6.96%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%4.7%2026-04-23 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%4.7%2026-04-23 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-23 19:44
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%7.8%2026-04-24 00:39
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%8.1%2026-04-23 20:20