La escuela de los momios

Genk v Standard Liege

Inicio: 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genk (Local)

Predicción 62.85%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -5.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.01%62.80%62.79%64.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5471.43%67.28%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Standard Liege (Visitante)

Predicción 14.98%6.68momio equitativo
EV +0.333%
Ventaja +0.050%
Kelly +0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.93%14.99%14.96%17.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.076.006.7020.00%16.48%16.67%14.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.17%4.51momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.557%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.66%22.21%22.25%24.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.174.204.4029.41%23.99%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.86%E -6.11%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV +0.333%E +0.050%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:05
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.28%EV -4.46%E -2.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.51%EV -0.716%E -0.108%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -4.00%E -0.925%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 03:30
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.02%EV -3.20%E -2.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 08:54
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.02%EV -3.20%E -2.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 08:54
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 00:35
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:38
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:50
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.60%E -5.17%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:40
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.46%E -2.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.83%EV -3.41%E -0.529%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 02:59
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.93%EV -5.66%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 20:55
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.93%EV -5.66%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 20:55
Suprabets1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -5.66%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -5.66%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 03:00
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.33%EV -6.41%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -3.56%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-20 13:50
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.33%EV -6.41%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -3.56%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-20 13:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -6.41%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.55%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -8.65%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.55%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -8.65%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 13:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.65%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 13:50
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.65%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 13:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.65%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 13:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.65%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 13:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -8.65%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 13:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-20 12:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-20 12:05
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 12:35
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:05
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:04
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:04
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 13:50
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 13:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 00:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 00:24
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 00:24
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.60%E -5.17%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 13:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.49%E -6.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.49%E -6.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-20 05:39
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.49%E -6.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-20 05:40
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -12.00%E -8.57%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-20 05:40
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.52%EV -9.49%E -6.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-20 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.52%EV -9.49%E -6.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-20 13:50
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.97%EV -10.75%E -7.57%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -14.65%E -3.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-21 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -13.89%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.00%E -0.925%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:40
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -7.60%E -5.17%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -13.89%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 00:34
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -8.86%E -6.11%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -13.89%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -4.46%E -2.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -16.14%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -8.86%E -6.11%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -16.14%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 01:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -12.00%E -8.57%K -30.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -17.64%E -3.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -24.62%E -7.24%K -10.26%G +0.000%19.0%2026-02-20 05:40
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -8.23%E -5.64%K -17.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -20.63%E -3.89%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-20 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.51%EV -10.12%E -7.08%K -23.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.31%EV -25.12%E -5.02%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.19%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-20 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.07%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-02-22 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.07%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-02-22 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.07%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-02-22 03:30
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.37%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%2.2%2026-02-22 03:10
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68%2.6%2026-02-22 01:10