مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dender v RAAL La Louvière

البداية: 2026-05-03 17:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Dender 2–1 RAAL La Louvière

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dender (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.23%2.84السعر العادل
EV +3.94%
الأفضلية +1.34%
Kelly +2.02%
النمو +0.080%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.55%35.08%35.25%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.682.652.9542.02%37.25%37.74%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

RAAL La Louvière (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.62%2.66السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -0.699%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.17%37.81%37.61%39.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.432.452.6143.48%41.16%40.82%38.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.15%3.68السعر العادل
EV -1.99%
الأفضلية -0.550%
Kelly -0.761%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.80%27.11%27.14%28.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.393.403.6134.72%29.50%29.41%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.98%EV +3.94%E +1.34%K +2.02%G +0.080%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 17:10
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.98%EV +3.94%E +1.34%K +2.02%G +0.080%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV +2.18%E +0.751%K +1.15%G +0.025%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -8.59%E -3.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV +2.18%E +0.751%K +1.15%G +0.025%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -8.59%E -3.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:10
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.47%E +0.512%K +0.784%G +0.012%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -11.60%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 14:44
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.47%E +0.512%K +0.784%G +0.012%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -11.60%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 14:44
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV +0.416%E +0.146%K +0.225%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:09
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV +0.416%E +0.146%K +0.225%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:10
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV +0.416%E +0.146%K +0.225%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:10
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +0.416%E +0.146%K +0.225%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -10.48%E -4.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 17:05
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV +0.416%E +0.146%K +0.225%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.60%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:10
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV +0.416%E +0.146%K +0.225%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.60%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:10
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.10%EV -1.82%E -0.699%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -7.14%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 17:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -11.60%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -12.36%E -5.30%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 17:05
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.78%EV -1.70%E -0.609%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.35%EV -4.83%E -1.91%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -1.99%E -0.550%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 17:05
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -12.73%E -5.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 17:05
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -13.48%E -5.86%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -13.48%E -5.86%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 17:10
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 17:00
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:10
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Suprabets2.70I 37.04%NM 34.58%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -5.21%E -2.07%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.38%EV -10.67%E -3.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:00
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:59
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.65%EV -5.22%E -1.94%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.34%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -9.32%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:35
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 17:03
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 17:05
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 17:05
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.47%E -4.60%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:35
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:35
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 17:10
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:10
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:09
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.96%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:35
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.26%E -0.627%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 09:55
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.26%E -0.627%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 09:55
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.84%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 09:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 09:55
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.60%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.43%EV -9.45%E -3.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.63%EV -7.14%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:47
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.72%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 14:20
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.19%EV -10.85%E -4.58%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 17:00
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.68%E -5.58%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.48%E -4.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 09:55
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -13.68%E -5.58%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -11.60%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 14:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -15.44%E -6.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.48%E -5.86%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-03 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.95%EV -16.14%E -6.78%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.17%EV -13.48%E -5.86%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.88%EV -21.81%E -7.57%K -11.60%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-03 09:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-03 17:09
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-03 16:40
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-05-03 17:10