La escuela de los momios

Club Brugge v Anderlecht

Inicio: 2026-03-08 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 66.26%1.51momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -5.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%66.21%66.34%68.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4776.92%71.36%71.43%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Predicción 14.50%6.90momio equitativo
EV +4.81%
Ventaja +0.666%
Kelly +0.773%
Crecimiento +0.037%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.41%14.60%14.46%16.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.356.507.2318.18%15.74%15.38%13.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.24%5.20momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.196%
Kelly +0.242%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.95%19.18%19.20%21.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.814.805.2526.67%20.79%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.62%EV -3.26%E -2.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.45%EV +4.81%E +0.666%K +0.773%G +0.037%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.93%EV -6.09%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.48%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 12:03
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +1.03%E +0.196%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-08 12:04
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +1.03%E +0.196%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-08 12:04
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.01%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.86%E -0.364%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 12:24
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.01%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.86%E -0.364%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 12:24
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 12:24
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 12:24
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.36%EV -2.73%E -0.406%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.74%EV -1.09%E -0.212%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 12:14
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.02%EV -2.87%E -0.428%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 12:04
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.02%EV -2.87%E -0.428%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 12:04
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -9.22%E -6.73%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -2.87%E -0.428%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +0.067%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:04
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.68%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -2.87%E -0.428%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.71%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:25
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:14
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -3.92%E -2.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 11:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 12:24
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 11:39
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 12:17
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 12:24
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 12:04
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 12:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 12:25
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.71%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:25
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.71%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:24
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.71%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:24
Suprabets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.71%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:03
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.88%E -8.93%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -5.71%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -9.39%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 11:39
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -9.39%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.63%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:24
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -9.39%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:24
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.82%EV -11.21%E -8.37%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -9.39%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 12:24
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.82%EV -11.21%E -8.37%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -9.39%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 12:24
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.48%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 12:04
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.48%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.48%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 12:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.48%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 12:04
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:04
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.89%E -7.27%K -27.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 12:24
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -11.88%E -8.93%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -11.48%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 12:13
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.88%E -8.93%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.22%EV -9.22%E -6.73%K -24.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.14%EV -14.47%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -12.44%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.58%EV -11.21%E -8.37%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -14.47%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -7.90%E -5.68%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -15.92%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.71%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 12:24
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.64%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 09:24
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.64%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 09:20
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -20.27%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 12:04
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -9.89%E -7.27%K -27.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -20.27%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -11.48%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 63.17%EV -13.86%E -10.66%K -46.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 14.93%EV -20.27%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.90%EV -27.84%E -7.42%K -10.12%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-08 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-03-08 12:25
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.59%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.91%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.51%2.0%2026-03-08 12:24
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%2.0%2026-03-08 12:05