L’École des cotes

Charleroi v Royal Antwerp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 51.99%1.92cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.55%52.05%51.86%54.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.761.771.8860.61%56.70%56.50%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Royal Antwerp (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.12%4.73cote équitable
EV +9.83%
Avantage +1.89%
Kelly +2.34%
Croissance +0.230%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.54%21.05%21.10%22.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.534.505.2026.67%22.08%22.22%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.89%3.72cote équitable
EV -0.507%
Avantage -0.137%
Kelly -0.188%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%26.91%27.05%28.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.433.453.7032.26%29.15%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV +9.83%E +1.89%K +2.34%G +0.230%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -1.85%E -0.507%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 18:40
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV +9.83%E +1.89%K +2.34%G +0.230%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -1.85%E -0.507%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -9.54%E -5.48%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +7.72%E +1.51%K +1.88%G +0.145%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -9.54%E -5.48%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +7.72%E +1.51%K +1.88%G +0.145%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:39
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -10.58%E -6.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +5.60%E +1.12%K +1.40%G +0.078%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:39
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -10.58%E -6.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +5.60%E +1.12%K +1.40%G +0.078%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:40
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -10.58%E -6.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +5.60%E +1.12%K +1.40%G +0.078%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:39
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -11.62%E -6.83%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV +5.60%E +1.12%K +1.40%G +0.078%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 18:40
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -11.62%E -6.83%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV +5.60%E +1.12%K +1.40%G +0.078%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 18:39
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -11.62%E -6.83%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV +5.60%E +1.12%K +1.40%G +0.078%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 18:39
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.86%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.42%EV +5.18%E +1.04%K +1.30%G +0.067%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 18:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -11.10%E -6.49%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV +3.49%E +0.713%K +0.895%G +0.031%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.66%E -7.53%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +3.49%E +0.713%K +0.895%G +0.031%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:40
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -13.70%E -8.25%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV +3.49%E +0.713%K +0.895%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.22%E -8.62%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV +1.38%E +0.287%K +0.363%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 18:39
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.22%E -8.62%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV +1.38%E +0.287%K +0.363%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 18:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV +0.323%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:35
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.82%EV -1.58%E -0.339%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.02%EV -3.47%E -0.965%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 18:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -2.84%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:40
Suprabets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.84%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -10.19%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 18:38
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:34
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 18:33
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.62%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:34
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.01%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -8.04%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:39
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.29%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.29%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.90%EV -13.18%E -7.89%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.02%EV -12.07%E -3.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.12%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.06%E -5.81%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 18:39
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.18%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.18%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 18:35
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.18%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.13%EV -11.62%E -6.83%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -9.18%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-10 18:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.24%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.24%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.29%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.98%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.29%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.507%E -0.137%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -10.58%E -6.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -11.29%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 18:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -10.06%E -5.81%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.29%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 18:14
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -10.06%E -5.81%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.29%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 18:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.25%EV -13.70%E -8.25%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -11.29%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-10 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.95%EV -8.50%E -4.83%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 18:35
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 18:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:37
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.66%EV -11.62%E -6.83%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -17.63%E -4.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.40%EV -13.18%E -7.89%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.45%EV -20.80%E -5.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.15%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-10 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.97%0.2%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-04-10 18:40