L’École des cotes

WSG Tirol v Wolfsberger AC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prévision 34.89%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.824%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.50%34.83%34.91%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.672.702.8041.67%37.41%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wolfsberger AC (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.52%2.67cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%37.57%37.51%39.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.6245.45%41.71%41.67%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.59%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -0.982%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.61%27.58%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.353.5034.72%30.22%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -14.45%E -6.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -14.45%E -6.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -14.45%E -6.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -14.45%E -6.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.86%EV -1.70%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 14:14
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.86%EV -1.70%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 14:14
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.96%EV -5.82%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 11:00
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.93%EV -3.36%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.93%EV -1.70%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:50
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 14:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.44%E -0.982%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 08:43
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:39
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:45
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:39
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:39
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 14:40
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -17.45%E -7.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-02 05:30
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 14:49
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.50%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.45%E -2.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 14:39
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:14
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:29
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.07%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 14:14
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 14:39
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -3.20%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 14:14
Suprabets2.61I 38.31%NM 34.84%EV -8.94%E -3.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -8.45%E -3.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.89%EV -10.06%E -3.09%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 14:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 14:39
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 34.78%EV -10.33%E -4.02%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.72%EV -11.08%E -4.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:38
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 14:14
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 14:20
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 14:19
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 14:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -10.70%E -4.50%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 14:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.70%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -20.54%E -7.13%K -10.93%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-04 14:39
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.52%E -5.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -11.83%E -5.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 14:14
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.83%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-04 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.83%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-04 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.83%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-04 14:49
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.64%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-04-04 14:50
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%2.6%2026-04-04 14:49