La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wolfsberger AC v Ried
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wolfsberger AC (Local)
Predicción 36.06%2.77momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.980%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.99%36.16%36.09%37.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.452.7044.44%40.16%40.82%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ried (Visitante)
Predicción 36.68%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.958%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.84%36.56%36.70%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.542.522.7043.48%39.34%39.68%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.26%3.67momio equitativo
EV -4.59%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.27%27.21%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.36%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -2.65%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -5.73%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -6.22%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:58 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -3.01%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.53%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -6.22%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.12%EV -3.37%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -5.41%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.36%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -13.80%E -5.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.85%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.13%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.85%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.13%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.28%EV -8.78%E -3.47%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -13.06%E -5.51%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 14:56 |
| Suprabets | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.23%EV -9.50%E -3.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.80%EV -6.83%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 14:56 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.66%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.66%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.66%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.66%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.66%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -12.38%E -5.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -13.80%E -5.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -15.63%E -6.80%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.49%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.49%E -7.46%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-11 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -14.18%E -5.96%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -12.70%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.81%EV -18.87%E -8.39%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.30%EV -9.03%E -3.64%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.89%EV -16.85%E -5.53%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.89% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |