La escuela de los momios

Wolfsberger AC v Rheindorf Altach

Inicio: 2026-03-21 16:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Predicción 41.80%2.39momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%41.70%41.89%42.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.222.2950.00%45.13%45.05%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Predicción 28.69%3.48momio equitativo
EV -0.715%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.291%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%28.78%28.62%30.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.083.4635.71%31.94%32.52%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.51%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%29.52%29.49%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.133.3035.71%32.20%32.00%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.26%EV -4.28%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.97%EV -0.715%E -0.207%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -4.11%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 15:59
Coolbet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.59%EV -4.28%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -3.01%E -0.891%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.12%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.44%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 15:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.12%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.44%E -0.717%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 15:59
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 16:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 15:59
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 15:59
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 15:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 15:59
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 15:59
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 16:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 15:59
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 15:59
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.53%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV -2.72%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -2.93%E -0.890%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 15:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.63%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:59
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:59
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:00
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:59
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:59
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.25%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.11%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 16:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:59
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 15:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 15:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 16:00
Suprabets2.19I 45.66%NM 41.55%EV -8.46%E -3.86%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.61%EV -8.75%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 15:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-21 15:59
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -11.38%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 15:56
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 15:59
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -15.35%E -5.20%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 15:59
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -16.78%E -5.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-21 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.36%E -6.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -17.39%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-21 15:59
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.60%EV -16.40%E -8.20%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -19.65%E -7.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.69%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 15:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%2.0%2026-03-21 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%2.0%2026-03-21 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%2.0%2026-03-21 15:59
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-03-21 16:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%2.9%2026-03-21 16:00