La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wolfsberger AC v Grazer AK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wolfsberger AC (Local)
Predicción 41.44%2.41momio equitativo
EV -4.68%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%41.47%41.40%43.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.042.182.202.3049.02%45.82%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grazer AK (Visitante)
Predicción 30.71%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%30.68%30.72%31.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.34%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.85%3.59momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.966%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.97%27.85%27.88%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.303.4734.72%30.62%30.30%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.88%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.75%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.81%EV -5.12%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -3.35%E -0.966%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.75%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -3.89%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -6.34%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.58%EV -6.04%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -6.97%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -6.34%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.88%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -6.34%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.88%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 07:14 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.88%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:02 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.88%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.00%E -3.60%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.00%E -3.60%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.83%E -4.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.96%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.83%E -4.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.57%E -4.02%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.83%E -4.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.57%E -4.02%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.83%E -4.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.57%E -4.02%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -8.83%E -4.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -11.88%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -8.83%E -4.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -11.88%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -10.90%E -5.07%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.45%EV -10.03%E -3.42%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -11.43%E -3.59%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:06 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -10.90%E -5.07%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -12.49%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 20:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.90%E -5.07%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -11.57%E -4.02%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.94%EV -10.90%E -5.07%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.67%EV -11.88%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| Suprabets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -11.31%E -5.29%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.96%EV -12.18%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -12.14%E -5.73%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.81%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.42%E -3.19%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -14.03%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -15.56%E -5.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -12.27%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -11.57%E -4.02%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.79%E -6.87%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.15%EV -15.46%E -7.58%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -7.88%E -2.63%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -10.87%E -3.40%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.04% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |