La escuela de los momios

Ried v Rheindorf Altach

Inicio: 2026-04-03 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ried (Local)

Predicción 43.17%2.32momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.87%43.13%43.20%43.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.59%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Predicción 26.81%3.73momio equitativo
EV +3.76%
Ventaja +0.972%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.76%26.92%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.323.8732.26%29.71%30.12%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.02%3.33momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.561%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.63%30.11%29.89%31.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.093.2736.36%32.78%32.36%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.63%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.03%EV +3.76%E +0.972%K +1.31%G +0.049%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.34%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 17:25
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.67%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV +0.546%E +0.146%K +0.199%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.62%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.67%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV +0.546%E +0.146%K +0.199%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.62%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 17:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.48%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 17:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.48%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:24
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.80%EV -5.46%E -2.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.87%EV -4.28%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV -1.83%E -0.561%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 17:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:15
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:15
Suprabets2.14I 46.73%NM 42.53%EV -7.62%E -3.56%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.83%EV -14.14%E -4.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 17:07
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.99%EV -5.35%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.43%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 10:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:01
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.03%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:14
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 17:01
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 17:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 17:25
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 17:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 17:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 17:01
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.94%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 17:01
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.54%E -4.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 17:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.59%EV -11.51%E -5.61%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.04%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 17:02
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 17:01
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.94%E -5.69%K -8.86%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-03 17:25
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:34
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:35
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:34
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:35
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:35
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:34
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:35
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.90%E -2.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 09:34
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-03 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.69%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.04%EV -17.44%E -6.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 09:35
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 09:34
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 17:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 17:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.19%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 17:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.67%E -6.83%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -15.54%E -4.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 17:01
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.88%E -5.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-03 09:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-03 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-03 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-03 17:20
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%3.1%2026-04-03 17:25