Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rheindorf Altach v WSG Tirol

Inicio: 2026-08-07 17:30 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 3–1 WSG Tirol

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Predicción 53.61%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.37%53.71%53.43%55.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.751.8061.73%57.43%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

WSG Tirol (Visitante)

Predicción 21.06%4.75momio equitativo
EV +3.21%
Ventaja +0.655%
Kelly +0.822%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.27%20.98%21.17%23.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.274.304.9026.67%23.44%23.26%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +0.287%
Ventaja +0.073%
Kelly +0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.22%25.31%25.40%26.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.573.503.9630.30%28.03%28.57%25.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 53.61%; WSG Tirol (Visitante): 21.06%; Empate: 25.33%. Para WSG Tirol (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.75. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.21%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.88%EV -9.40%E -5.56%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +3.21%E +0.655%K +0.822%G +0.026%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +1.10%E +0.229%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.12%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV +0.258%E +0.054%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.61%EV -0.726%E -0.185%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.12%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV +0.258%E +0.054%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.61%EV -0.726%E -0.185%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.89%EV -5.64%E -3.21%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +0.048%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-07 17:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.01%E -0.214%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.01%E -0.214%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -8.32%E -4.87%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.11%E -0.676%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.50%E -0.649%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -3.11%E -0.676%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 17:25
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -3.74%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.22%EV +0.287%E +0.073%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 17:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.32%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.32%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 16:45
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.32%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 17:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.32%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.32%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.32%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -8.80%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -8.80%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:35
Suprabets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -9.40%E -5.56%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.80%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.19%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 16:46
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -8.80%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -9.43%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -11.00%E -6.63%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.80%EV -9.43%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.33%EV -10.60%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 17:23
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.16%EV -13.15%E -8.12%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -9.43%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.63%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.48%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.54%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.17%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -13.64%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.63%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.63%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.63%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.63%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 16:35
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -9.93%E -5.91%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-07 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-07 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.31%EV -8.32%E -4.87%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -17.86%E -4.58%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -15.16%E -4.53%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 16:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -21.01%E -5.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 13:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -21.01%E -5.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -21.01%E -5.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 13:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -21.01%E -5.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-08-07 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-08-07 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-08-07 17:25
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-08-07 17:20
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-07 17:25