La escuela de los momios

Rheindorf Altach v Ried

Inicio: 2026-05-16 15:00 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 2–0 Ried

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Predicción 55.14%1.81momio equitativo
EV -4.61%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -6.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.72%55.49%55.11%61.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.671.681.7365.36%59.89%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ried (Visitante)

Predicción 19.23%5.20momio equitativo
EV +10.58%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +2.23%
Crecimiento +0.235%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.23%19.04%19.24%20.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.714.755.7523.26%21.21%21.05%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.63%3.90momio equitativo
EV +5.09%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.084%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.76%25.46%25.65%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.604.1032.26%28.11%27.78%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -15.64%E -10.22%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +10.58%E +1.84%K +2.23%G +0.235%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +5.09%E +1.24%K +1.64%G +0.084%7.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.00%EV -6.82%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.99%EV +1.15%E +0.219%K +0.271%G +0.003%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -1.92%E -0.377%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:55
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -1.92%E -0.377%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.82%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.85%E -0.769%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 14:55
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -6.82%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.85%E -0.769%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:25
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.82%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.88%EV -7.12%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV +1.24%E +0.315%K +0.421%G +0.005%4.2%2026-05-16 14:55
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:35
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -6.82%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 14:25
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 14:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 14:54
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:55
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:35
Suprabets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 14:38
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:55
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:35
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:34
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:10
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:10
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -12.33%E -7.75%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -12.50%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -11.57%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 14:34
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 14:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 14:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -10.68%E -6.59%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 14:20
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 14:10
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.18%EV -11.23%E -6.97%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.42%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 14:25
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -15.39%E -3.50%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 14:55
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -16.73%E -3.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -10.68%E -6.59%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -16.73%E -3.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -20.54%E -6.63%K -9.78%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.67%EV -11.78%E -7.36%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -17.31%E -4.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-16 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-05-16 14:55