La escuela de los momios

Rheindorf Altach v Rapid Wien

Inicio: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Predicción 33.79%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.646%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.333%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.30%33.75%33.85%34.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.9440.00%36.94%37.04%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rapid Wien (Visitante)

Predicción 34.53%2.90momio equitativo
EV +0.123%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.13%34.63%34.44%36.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.9041.67%38.26%38.46%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.68%3.16momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.577%
Kelly -0.852%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.67%31.62%31.70%32.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.932.923.1039.22%34.16%34.25%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.31%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV +0.123%E +0.042%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -6.54%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.31%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV +0.123%E +0.042%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -6.54%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:39
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -0.646%E -0.220%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.46%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.60%EV -5.91%E -1.99%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:55
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -3.69%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -3.06%E -0.999%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 09:59
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.54%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:45
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.06%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:43
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.16%EV -4.70%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.09%E -2.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.76%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.16%EV -4.70%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.09%E -2.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.76%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 10:59
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -3.69%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.71%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:55
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.29%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:50
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.29%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:49
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.29%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.29%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:29
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 11:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.71%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.51%E -3.21%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:44
Suprabets2.69I 37.17%NM 33.86%EV -9.09%E -3.38%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -9.20%E -3.50%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 31.51%EV -8.44%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:46
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -11.12%E -4.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -9.20%E -3.50%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 15:44
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 15:49
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -11.29%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 15:39
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -10.23%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -1.79%E -0.577%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.23%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 15:25
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.23%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.54%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 10:59
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:24
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:24
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:24
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.76%E -3.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:25
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.53%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.29%EV -14.46%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 15:44
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.16%EV -13.83%E -5.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.16%EV -11.96%E -4.69%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.68%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 15:44
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.46%E -4.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.40%EV -13.00%E -5.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.55%EV -7.49%E -2.57%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 10:59
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 10:59
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -3.37%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.12%E -4.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 15:50
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.12%E -4.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 15:49
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -11.46%E -4.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -11.46%E -4.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 15:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 15:34
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -15.52%E -6.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.00%EV -15.41%E -6.29%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -19.21%E -7.53%K -12.40%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-01 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.30%EV -11.12%E -4.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.40%EV -17.14%E -7.14%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.30%EV -16.68%E -6.34%K -10.23%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-01 15:50
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-01 15:54
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.8%2026-03-01 15:49