Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rheindorf Altach v Hartberg

Início: 2026-08-22 15:00 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 1–2 Hartberg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Previsão 52.59%1.90odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.08%52.45%52.61%54.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.771.751.8560.24%56.48%57.14%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hartberg (Visitante)

Previsão 21.50%4.65odd justa
EV +3.43%
Vantagem +0.713%
Kelly +0.901%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.03%21.70%21.48%24.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.094.104.8127.78%24.45%24.39%20.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.90%3.86odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.275%
Kelly -0.373%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.26%25.85%25.92%26.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.503.503.8230.30%28.56%28.57%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 52.59%; Hartberg (Visitante): 21.50%; Empate: 25.90%. Para Hartberg (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.65. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.81, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.43%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.43%E -4.22%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.03%EV +3.43%E +0.713%K +0.901%G +0.031%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.22%EV -1.05%E -0.275%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 14:45
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.18%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.92%EV -1.30%E -0.283%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%EV -7.53%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -6.91%E -3.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.23%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.23%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 14:29
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.91%E -3.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.46%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.91%E -3.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -10.06%E -5.89%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -9.54%E -5.55%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.01%EV -12.69%E -7.65%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 14:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.54%E -5.55%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 14:24
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.91%E -3.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 08:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.54%E -5.55%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 14:55
Suprabets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -2.87%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -2.87%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -10.59%E -6.23%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.73%EV -9.54%E -5.55%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 14:48
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:55
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -1.57%E -0.413%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:54
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.59%E -6.23%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.59%E -6.23%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -15.06%E -3.81%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:44
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:43
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:43
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:44
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 08:44
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 08:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -22.59%E -6.27%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-19 08:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -22.59%E -6.27%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-19 08:43
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -22.59%E -6.27%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-19 08:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -22.59%E -6.27%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-19 08:43
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-22 14:50
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-08-22 14:55