Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

LASK v Sturm Graz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 15:00 UTC

Score final : LASK 1–1 Sturm Graz

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

LASK (Local)

Prévision 50.12%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -4.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.34%50.15%50.11%51.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.851.9157.14%54.07%54.05%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.21%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.324%
Avantage +0.081%
Kelly +0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.13%25.18%25.13%26.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.613.553.9829.41%27.71%28.17%25.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.68%4.05cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -0.858%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.85%24.67%24.76%25.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.673.653.9528.99%27.25%27.40%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : LASK (Local) : 50.12% ; Sturm Graz (Visiteur) : 25.21% ; Match nul : 24.68%. Pour Sturm Graz (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.97. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.98, soit une espérance positive de +0.324%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.33%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.24%EV +0.324%E +0.081%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.43%EV -2.53%E -0.641%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 14:50
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.80%EV -5.28%E -2.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.13%EV +0.324%E +0.081%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -5.49%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.16%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 09:01
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -9.79%E -5.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:39
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 14:55
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:55
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:55
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.76%EV -10.29%E -5.75%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.69%EV -7.24%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:36
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.79%E -5.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.28%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.10%EV -10.79%E -6.06%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.79%E -5.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 14:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 14:40
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.29%E -4.53%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.79%E -5.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.48%EV -8.79%E -4.83%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -14.30%E -4.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -14.87%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.79%E -6.70%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.30%E -4.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -12.30%E -7.03%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -14.30%E -4.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -12.30%E -7.03%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -14.30%E -4.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.4%2026-04-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.4%2026-04-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-04-19 14:50
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-04-19 14:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-04-19 14:50