Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

LASK v Rheindorf Altach

Início: 2026-08-29 17:30 UTC

Final: LASK 3–0 Rheindorf Altach

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

LASK (Local)

Previsão 68.11%1.47odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -6.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.91%68.05%68.11%70.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.291.371.361.4377.52%73.16%73.53%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Previsão 13.00%7.69odd justa
EV +17.04%
Vantagem +1.89%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescimento +0.363%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.69%13.01%13.12%15.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.806.886.959.0017.24%14.53%14.39%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.88%5.30odd justa
EV +0.654%
Vantagem +0.123%
Kelly +0.151%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.89%18.95%18.77%20.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.754.755.3323.09%21.04%21.05%18.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: LASK (Local): 68.11%; Rheindorf Altach (Visitante): 13.00%; Empate: 18.88%. Para Rheindorf Altach (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.69. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +17.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.20%EV -6.69%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.69%EV +17.04%E +1.89%K +2.13%G +0.363%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.12%EV -5.01%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.05%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.31%EV +7.94%E +0.956%K +1.09%G +0.086%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -14.08%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 17:25
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.05%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.31%EV +7.94%E +0.956%K +1.09%G +0.086%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -14.08%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.41%E -7.08%K -28.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +4.03%E +0.504%K +0.576%G +0.023%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -10.09%E -7.65%K -31.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +4.03%E +0.504%K +0.576%G +0.023%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.58%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.51%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.20%EV +0.783%E +0.101%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.47%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.39%EV -5.33%E -3.83%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.71I 12.97%NM 12.51%EV +0.263%E +0.034%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.10%EV +0.654%E +0.123%K +0.151%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-29 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.47%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.58%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.69%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -2.47%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.05%E -5.96%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.47%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.58%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -8.05%E -5.96%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -2.47%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 17:20
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.94%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV -5.72%E -0.789%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.47%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -8.05%E -5.96%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -5.72%E -0.789%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.36%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -8.05%E -5.96%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.58%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 17:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.36%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 17:15
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.36%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.36%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.36%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.41%E -7.08%K -28.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.58%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -18.23%E -4.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -11.46%E -8.81%K -38.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -9.36%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -11.46%E -8.81%K -38.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -12.14%E -9.41%K -41.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -8.97%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Suprabets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.87%EV -8.73%E -6.52%K -25.68%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.18%EV -10.27%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.36%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.23%EV -10.77%E -8.22%K -34.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.95%EV -10.27%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 17:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.57%E -1.70%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.58%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -11.57%E -1.70%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.58%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -8.05%E -5.96%K -23.00%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.36%EV -11.57%E -1.70%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.60%EV -9.41%E -7.08%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -12.22%E -1.81%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.69%E -0.723%K -0.900%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:20
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.47%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.47%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.47%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 17:10
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.47%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.91%EV -10.09%E -7.65%K -31.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -15.47%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -7.47%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:30
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:30
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -2.60%E -1.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -18.72%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -6.01%E -4.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.41%E -7.08%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.91%EV -6.69%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -24.58%E -4.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.91%EV -6.69%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -24.58%E -4.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 09:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -24.58%E -4.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -24.58%E -4.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -15.02%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 09:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.85%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-29 17:25
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-08-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-08-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-08-29 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-08-29 17:25