La escuela de los momios

Hartberg v Austria Wien

Inicio: 2026-03-22 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hartberg (Local)

Predicción 29.10%3.44momio equitativo
EV +0.391%
Ventaja +0.113%
Kelly +0.159%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.95%29.12%29.02%30.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.133.103.4533.90%31.92%32.26%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Predicción 41.68%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.23%41.68%41.72%43.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.192.202.3151.28%45.64%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.22%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%29.20%29.27%30.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.153.203.3035.09%31.73%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV +0.391%E +0.113%K +0.159%G +0.001%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.38%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 12:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.06%E -0.313%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 12:58
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -3.39%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -3.39%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 12:59
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 12:59
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 13:00
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.03%EV -6.01%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 13:00
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 12:59
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 12:59
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -7.47%E -3.36%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 12:58
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -7.47%E -3.36%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 12:59
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:59
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:59
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 13:00
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -16.64%E -8.32%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -15.85%E -5.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-22 12:59
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:59
Suprabets3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.52%EV -8.72%E -3.98%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.62%EV -10.30%E -3.35%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 12:59
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 29.12%EV -9.21%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.86%EV -9.55%E -4.40%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.02%EV -8.54%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 20:59
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 21:00
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 12:59
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 12:59
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 12:59
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -16.64%E -8.32%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-22 12:59
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 21:00
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 21:00
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 21:00
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 12:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 12:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 13:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 12:59
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.84%EV -18.72%E -9.60%K -19.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.31%EV -16.72%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.16%E -4.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-22 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%3.6%2026-03-22 12:59