La escuela de los momiosGrazer AK v Ried
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grazer AK (Local)
Predicción 29.80%3.36momio equitativo
EV -0.768%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.330%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.32%29.80%29.79%31.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.053.3335.09%32.70%32.79%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ried (Visitante)
Predicción 40.89%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.36%40.84%40.84%42.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.262.302.4148.78%44.29%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV +2.58%
Ventaja +0.736%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.41%29.36%29.36%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.093.103.5036.36%32.35%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.05%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -5.54%E -2.40%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV +2.58%E +0.736%K +1.03%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.55%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.55%EV -5.04%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.55%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.55%EV -5.04%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Coolbet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -8.22%E -2.67%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.51%EV -1.45%E -0.601%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.57%EV -5.63%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 09:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -0.768%E -0.231%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.82%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -3.15%E -0.970%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -9.22%E -4.15%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.66%E -0.504%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.15%E -0.970%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.12%E -6.73%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -15.07%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -14.12%E -6.73%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:45 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 11:43 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 11:44 |
| Suprabets | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.03%EV -6.73%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -12.96%E -4.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.06%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -15.89%E -5.54%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.12%E -6.73%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.94%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -15.07%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.57%EV -16.17%E -7.89%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.24%EV -19.40%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22% | 0.3% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.8% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |