L’École des cotes

Grazer AK v FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grazer AK (Local)

Prévision 39.99%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.492%
Kelly -0.828%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.14%39.88%40.12%41.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.322.4746.51%43.26%43.10%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.38%3.40cote équitable
EV +2.82%
Avantage +0.807%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.29%29.50%29.39%32.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.003.5036.36%32.95%33.33%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.63%3.26cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.622%
Kelly -0.904%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.86%30.62%30.49%32.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.053.2036.36%33.00%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.35%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV +2.82%E +0.807%K +1.13%G +0.032%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.25%EV -5.97%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 14:49
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.07%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV +1.36%E +0.393%K +0.553%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.06%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 14:39
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.07%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV +1.36%E +0.393%K +0.553%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.06%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 14:39
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV +1.06%E +0.309%K +0.435%G +0.005%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -5.97%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 14:50
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.94%EV -11.21%E -5.05%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%EV -2.17%E -0.652%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.77%EV -12.40%E -4.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 14:29
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:45
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.73%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 14:19
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.82%E -2.02%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -8.73%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 14:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 14:19
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:29
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 14:30
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:19
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -1.99%E -0.622%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 12:29
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:18
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.32%EV -9.22%E -4.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 14:38
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -1.22%E -0.492%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.01%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 14:19
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 14:39
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:39
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:39
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:39
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 14:40
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 14:20
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 14:19
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.02%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 14:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 14:38
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -13.33%E -4.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 14:19
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.01%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.80%E -5.10%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 12:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -15.39%E -5.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -16.27%E -5.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 00:04
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -16.27%E -5.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -16.27%E -5.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -16.27%E -5.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 00:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -17.74%E -6.34%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -10.01%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -17.74%E -6.34%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -15.77%E -5.74%K -9.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-04 12:29
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.01%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -19.21%E -6.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 05:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-04-04 14:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-04-04 14:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-04-04 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-04-04 14:39
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-04-04 14:49