La escuela de los momios

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v Rheindorf Altach

Inicio: 2026-04-24 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Predicción 44.10%2.27momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.747%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%43.87%44.06%45.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.122.102.2351.28%47.20%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Predicción 26.60%3.76momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.578%
Kelly -0.794%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.75%26.84%26.64%29.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.323.303.6833.90%30.11%30.30%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV -0.353%
Ventaja -0.104%
Kelly -0.147%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%29.29%29.30%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.153.4034.72%31.99%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:50
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 08:40
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.19%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.18%EV -2.13%E -0.578%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 22:19
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -2.39%E -0.652%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:14
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 03:50
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -5.63%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -2.93%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:34
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -5.63%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -2.93%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:35
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.76%EV -5.63%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.38%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.64%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:05
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.00%EV -5.63%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -21.54%E -7.30%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 17:50
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -6.52%E -3.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.59%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -6.52%E -3.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.59%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.353%E -0.104%K -0.147%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:49
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 17:50
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:49
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:32
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:44
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.28%E -3.98%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:20
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:48
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:39
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 43.71%EV -10.04%E -4.92%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.46%EV -10.37%E -3.08%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 29.82%EV -12.37%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.81%E -5.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.90%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 16:48
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.81%E -5.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 16:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.81%E -5.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 16:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.81%E -5.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -11.81%E -5.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -15.59%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -13.13%E -6.67%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.15%EV -13.57%E -6.92%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -16.22%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 16:49
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -14.01%E -7.19%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.8%2026-04-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.7%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.7%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.7%2026-04-23 22:05
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%4.6%2026-04-24 03:50