La escuela de los momios

Austria Wien v LASK

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Final: Austria Wien 0–3 LASK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Austria Wien (Local)

Predicción 28.78%3.47momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -0.647%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.57%28.77%28.77%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.183.203.4233.90%31.48%31.25%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LASK (Visitante)

Predicción 42.82%2.34momio equitativo
EV -5.80%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -4.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%42.87%42.75%43.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.142.142.2049.50%46.78%46.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.40%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.50%28.36%28.48%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.253.4033.33%30.95%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -1.57%E -0.458%K -0.647%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -6.66%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 08:00
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.14%E -0.630%K -0.892%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:03
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:46
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.78%EV -6.23%E -2.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.74%EV -7.42%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 07:50
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 27.90%EV -6.17%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.25%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:59
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.66%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.66%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:45
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:20
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:05
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:05
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:45
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:15
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:15
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:15
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:16
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:16
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:15
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:15
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 06:16
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:46
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:46
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:46
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 08:04
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 08:05
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.74%EV -8.76%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.97%EV -9.23%E -4.35%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.29%EV -8.55%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:50
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:41
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:15
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:15
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:15
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:15
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.23%E -4.35%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:47
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:46
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:46
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:46
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-17 07:50
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -12.22%E -4.00%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:41
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 07:45
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 07:45
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.20%EV -13.51%E -6.69%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 06:15
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-17 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-17 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-17 08:15
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-17 08:10