Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Austria Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC

Início: 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC

Final: Austria Lustenau 2–1 Wolfsberger AC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Previsão 26.73%3.74odd justa
EV +1.58%
Vantagem +0.415%
Kelly +0.563%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.66%26.85%26.73%29.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.333.383.8033.33%30.00%29.63%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visitante)

Previsão 46.85%2.13odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.768%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.21%46.72%46.78%49.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.991.982.1053.19%50.26%50.51%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.42%3.79odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -0.756%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.61%26.43%26.49%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.413.403.6830.77%29.32%29.41%27.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Austria Lustenau (Local): 26.73%; Wolfsberger AC (Visitante): 46.85%; Empate: 26.42%. Para Austria Lustenau (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.74. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.58%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV +1.58%E +0.415%K +0.563%G +0.009%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -10.98%E -5.78%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:54
Pinnacle🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV +1.04%E +0.276%K +0.375%G +0.004%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.12%EV -5.83%E -2.90%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -2.78%E -0.756%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 14:54
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.10%E -0.296%K -0.406%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:43
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.44%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.44%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 14:49
1xBet🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -3.05%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 14:54
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:44
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:49
Suprabets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.58%E -4.96%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -10.71%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:33
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:44
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:44
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 14:49
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 14:49
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 14:45
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 14:54
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 14:44
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -11.92%E -6.34%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 14:49
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.92%E -6.34%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -9.11%E -4.69%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:49
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.97%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 14:48
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -4.89%E -2.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 14:49
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -10.05%E -5.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 14:49
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 14:44
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.51%E -5.50%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 14:44
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.46%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:04
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:04
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:04
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -1.61%E -0.768%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -18.47%E -6.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.25%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 14:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-15 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%1.3%2026-08-15 14:54
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-08-15 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-08-15 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-08-15 14:49