La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sydney FC v Perth Glory
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sydney FC (Local)
Predicción 59.60%1.68momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -5.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.66%59.33%59.68%61.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.571.6269.93%64.09%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Perth Glory (Visitante)
Predicción 19.07%5.24momio equitativo
EV +3.00%
Ventaja +0.555%
Kelly +0.681%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.66%19.15%19.01%20.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.924.955.4023.26%20.33%20.20%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.32%4.69momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -0.532%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.68%21.52%21.31%24.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.304.354.6027.78%23.27%22.99%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.14%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV +3.00%E +0.555%K +0.681%G +0.020% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -8.21%E -5.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV +0.134%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -8.21%E -5.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV +0.134%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 08:57 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -0.820%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.72%EV -1.77%E -0.344%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.87%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.72%EV -1.77%E -0.344%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.68%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.75%EV -4.06%E -0.808%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.58%EV -6.82%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.96%EV -4.63%E -2.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -1.92%E -0.417%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.23%E -3.29%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.23%E -3.29%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.23%E -3.29%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.05%E -0.900%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -7.67%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -4.63%E -2.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -9.38%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 08:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -11.79%E -7.96%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.38%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -11.79%E -7.96%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.63%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.38%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.59%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.59%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -11.51%E -2.77%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -5.59%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -11.51%E -2.77%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.38%EV -3.44%E -2.12%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.47%EV -5.78%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.98%E -0.656%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%EV -5.23%E -3.29%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.54%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -14.77%E -10.33%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -6.54%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 08:57 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.45%EV -4.63%E -2.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -7.50%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -7.67%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 08:54 |
| BetUS | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 08:29 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.45%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -4.63%E -2.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -9.40%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -3.44%E -2.12%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.40%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -3.44%E -2.12%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.40%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.40%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.40%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.38%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -9.40%E -6.19%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -10.36%E -2.20%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 08:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -12.26%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.45%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 08:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -14.17%E -3.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.67%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -8.21%E -5.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.17%E -3.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -14.17%E -3.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -23.24%E -6.46%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.60%EV -11.79%E -7.96%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.71%EV -16.08%E -3.65%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -10.59%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -17.99%E -4.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -12.58%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |