La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Perth Glory v Macarthur FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Perth Glory (Local)
Predicción 26.94%3.71momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.531%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.12%26.95%36.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.353.303.303.6442.55%30.31%30.30%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Macarthur FC (Visitante)
Predicción 48.42%2.07momio equitativo
EV +6.52%
Ventaja +2.96%
Kelly +5.43%
Crecimiento +0.354%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.71%48.23%48.42%49.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.981.972.2054.95%50.49%50.76%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.64%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.360%
Kelly -0.480%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.60%24.65%24.62%26.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.713.704.0030.77%26.93%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.24%EV -36.69%E -15.61%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.71%EV +6.52%E +2.96%K +5.43%G +0.354% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -16.22%E -4.77%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -20.52%E -6.96%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV +5.07%E +2.33%K +4.33%G +0.219% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 07:48 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV +2.65%E +1.25%K +2.36%G +0.062% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.709%E +0.341%K +0.656%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.709%E +0.341%K +0.656%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV +0.225%E +0.109%K +0.210%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 08:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.23%EV -0.259%E -0.126%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.23%EV -0.259%E -0.126%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:14 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.23%EV -0.259%E -0.126%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.23%EV -0.259%E -0.126%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.23%EV -0.259%E -0.126%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.23%EV -0.259%E -0.126%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -15.13%E -4.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.23%EV -0.259%E -0.126%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| GTbets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.18%EV -1.23%E -0.602%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.10%EV -1.23%E -0.602%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -3.90%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.67%E -0.676%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.67%E -0.676%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 08:14 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 08:14 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -17.83%E -5.84%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -12.53%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -17.83%E -5.84%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -12.53%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 08:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV -1.93%E -0.531%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.05%EV -4.62%E -2.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -2.42%E -0.612%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -4.62%E -2.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.59%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.13%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.59%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.59%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 08:39 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.59%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.59%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -5.59%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -5.59%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.61%EV -6.07%E -3.13%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -20.52%E -6.96%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -6.07%E -3.13%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.76%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -6.55%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.44%E -0.360%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 08:24 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.13%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.01%E -4.21%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -8.01%E -4.21%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -12.53%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.41%EV -17.83%E -5.84%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.84%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.76%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -11.40%E -6.23%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -19.92%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -11.88%E -6.53%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 08:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |