La escuela de los momios

Newcastle Jets FC v Auckland FC

Inicio: 2026-03-14 06:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Newcastle Jets FC (Local)

Predicción 37.42%2.67momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.65%37.42%37.33%38.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.12%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Auckland FC (Visitante)

Predicción 37.88%2.64momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.31%37.86%37.93%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.5544.44%40.87%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.70%4.05momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -0.819%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%24.72%24.74%26.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.743.753.9530.77%26.74%26.67%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.06%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.54%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.42%E -0.612%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 05:35
LowVig.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.26%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.99%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 02:15
BetOnline.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.26%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.99%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 02:15
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.50%EV -3.46%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.56%EV -2.66%E -0.676%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 05:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 05:49
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 04:25
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.90%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.10%EV -7.11%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:49
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:49
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 02:15
Bovada2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -5.70%E -2.26%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.02%EV -6.44%E -2.61%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 05:49
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -5.70%E -2.26%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.02%EV -6.44%E -2.61%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 05:49
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.70%E -2.26%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 02:14
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.70%E -2.26%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.07%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 02:14
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 01:45
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.84%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 01:44
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 04:24
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 14:04
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 05:49
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 20:39
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 02:14
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.96%E -3.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.96%E -3.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.96%E -3.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.96%E -3.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.96%E -3.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.96%E -3.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:50
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.96%E -3.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.23%E -4.32%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 03:25
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.46%EV -6.83%E -2.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.46%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 22:19
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 05:49
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 02:00
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 01:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 02:00
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 02:00
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 04:25
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.04%EV -9.07%E -3.73%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.30%EV -10.99%E -4.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 05:20
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.04%EV -9.07%E -3.73%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.30%EV -10.99%E -4.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 05:19
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.70%EV -10.20%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.99%E -4.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 20:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -10.20%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -12.88%E -5.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -10.20%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.03%EV -14.78%E -6.57%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -19.71%E -6.06%K -8.76%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 05:15
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -12.07%E -5.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -12.88%E -5.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 05:49
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.94%E -6.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -12.88%E -5.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-13 20:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-03-14 05:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.76%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-14 05:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.76%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-14 05:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.76%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-14 05:40
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.83%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-03-14 05:50
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-03-14 05:35