La escuela de los momios

Auckland FC v Perth Glory

Inicio: 2026-03-08 02:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Predicción 64.56%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -7.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%64.55%64.56%66.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.25%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Perth Glory (Visitante)

Predicción 14.94%6.69momio equitativo
EV +10.69%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.178%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.01%14.93%14.86%16.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.226.257.4118.87%16.07%16.00%13.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.50%4.88momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.287%
Kelly -0.363%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.85%20.53%20.58%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.474.504.8126.67%22.38%22.22%20.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.95%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.01%EV +10.69%E +1.44%K +1.67%G +0.178%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.04%EV -1.38%E -0.287%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:54
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.90%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +4.56%E +0.652%K +0.760%G +0.035%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.27%EV -2.00%E -0.418%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 01:49
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.90%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +4.56%E +0.652%K +0.760%G +0.035%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.27%EV -2.00%E -0.418%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 01:49
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +4.56%E +0.652%K +0.760%G +0.035%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:24
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.97%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.24%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:55
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.39%EV -3.81%E -2.55%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 01:49
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:55
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -6.71%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 01:49
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 01:50
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 01:49
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 01:49
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -2.91%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 01:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -4.40%E -0.688%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.76%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:50
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -4.40%E -0.688%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -8.76%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:49
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.40%E -0.688%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:44
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.40%E -0.688%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.40%E -0.688%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:40
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.40%E -0.688%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:49
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:50
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:50
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:49
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:50
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:49
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 01:49
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -6.64%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -11.84%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 01:19
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -7.39%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:54
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.34%EV -8.29%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.61%EV -6.30%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 01:54
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -8.88%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -11.84%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 01:50
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -8.88%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -11.84%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 01:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 01:30
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 01:50
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:49
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 01:49
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 01:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 01:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 01:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.36%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 01:19
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.36%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 01:19
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.11%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.63%EV -14.86%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -11.84%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 01:54
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.00%EV -12.20%E -8.97%K -33.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -14.86%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.85%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -16.35%E -2.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 01:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -17.85%E -3.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.12%E -6.16%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.90%EV -9.62%E -6.87%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -20.83%E -3.93%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.84%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 01:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-03-08 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-08 01:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-08 01:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-08 01:55
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.62%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%2.3%2026-03-08 01:54
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.39%3.0%2026-03-08 01:54