A Escola das Odds

Newells Old Boys v Platense

Início: 2026-03-11 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Previsão 29.56%3.38odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.740%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%29.53%29.63%30.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.113.103.3035.71%32.15%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Platense (Visitante)

Previsão 37.73%2.65odd justa
EV -0.011%
Vantagem -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.26%37.68%37.68%38.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.472.452.6545.45%40.44%40.82%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.71%3.06odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -0.852%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.69%32.79%32.69%34.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.812.802.9840.00%35.65%35.71%33.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:35
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 29.43%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.48%EV -3.41%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.09%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:55
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 00:50
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.91%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.56%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -2.54%E -0.852%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:45
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 00:35
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 00:35
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 00:35
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -4.50%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:50
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -4.50%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 00:49
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:45
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.77%EV -6.80%E -2.75%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 00:55
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:35
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:35
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 00:45
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:45
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.67%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 00:30
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 00:55
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 00:35
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.56%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 00:30
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.75%EV -10.58%E -4.46%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.39%EV -12.35%E -4.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-11 00:43
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-11 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -0.766%E -0.291%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 00:35
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-11 00:35
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-11 00:35
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-11 00:35
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-11 00:35
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-11 00:35
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -12.79%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -11.33%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-11 00:35
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.20%E -4.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-11 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -18.24%E -7.29%K -12.16%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-10 22:34
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.85%EV -17.22%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -16.99%E -7.72%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.15%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-11 00:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-03-11 00:55
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.98%0.9%2026-03-11 00:55
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00%2.5%2026-03-11 00:55