L’École des cotesFrançais
Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Prévision 38.44%2.60cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.35%38.54%38.51%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.402.402.5246.51%41.69%41.67%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
San Lorenzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.464%
Kelly +0.621%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.11%25.73%25.78%27.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.553.583.9531.25%28.19%27.97%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 35.78%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.587%
Kelly -0.923%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%35.73%35.71%36.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.59%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV +1.83%E +0.464%K +0.621%G +0.011% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.91%E -2.25%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV +1.83%E +0.464%K +0.621%G +0.011% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.91%E -2.25%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.38%EV -3.12%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.329%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -4.84%E -1.82%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-25 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.04%E -0.536%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.32%E -0.886%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 21:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.30%EV -2.69%E -0.988%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 21:53 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.35%E -3.05%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -6.62%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-25 21:51 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.58%E -5.03%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-25 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -1.62%E -0.587%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -11.58%E -5.03%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.58%E -5.03%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-25 21:35 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.16%EV -4.66%E -1.88%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -11.06%E -3.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -1.62%E -0.587%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.16%EV -4.66%E -1.88%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -11.06%E -3.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -1.62%E -0.587%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -10.43%E -4.47%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -11.57%E -3.37%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 21:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-25 21:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.58%E -5.03%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.56%E -4.22%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-25 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -15.42%E -7.01%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -8.77%E -3.44%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.40%EV -12.73%E -5.61%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -13.64%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -12.35%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-25 21:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.81%EV -17.35%E -8.07%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.91%EV -13.64%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.28%EV -17.71%E -7.70%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-25 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -8.50%E -3.57%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -14.93%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -8.50%E -3.57%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -14.93%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -5.19%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.74%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -14.93%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -6.98%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-25 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -9.66%E -4.11%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -16.21%E -4.99%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -5.91%E -2.25%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -11.58%E -5.03%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -17.50%E -5.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.14%E -5.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-25 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 1.0% | 2026-03-25 21:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.19% | 2.4% | 2026-03-25 21:55 |