La escuela de los momios

Central Córdoba v Talleres

Inicio: 2026-02-24 22:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Central Córdoba (Local)

Predicción 26.28%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.139%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%26.32%26.35%27.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.493.503.8031.25%28.62%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Talleres (Visitante)

Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.48%39.81%39.83%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.352.4047.62%43.12%42.55%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.90%2.95momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.01%33.87%33.82%34.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.722.752.8541.67%36.71%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -0.139%E -0.037%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.20%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-24 22:30
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.77%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 22:30
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.77%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 22:29
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.77%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 22:30
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.08%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 22:30
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.08%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 22:29
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.05%EV -7.21%E -3.09%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -7.80%E -2.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 22:30
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.69%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -7.80%E -2.87%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 22:30
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 22:29
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 22:30
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 22:30
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 22:29
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 22:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 22:30
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.71%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 22:30
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 22:30
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 22:30
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 22:30
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 22:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 22:29
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.19%E -4.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -16.37%E -7.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.26%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-24 22:29
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 22:29
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 22:29
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 22:29
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -8.48%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.09%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 22:30
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-24 22:29
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 26.86%EV -12.49%E -3.75%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.40%EV -9.60%E -4.23%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-24 22:28
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 22:30
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 22:30
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 22:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-24 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-24 22:30
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.28%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.93%EV -12.89%E -5.01%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-24 22:30
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -16.37%E -7.79%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.71%EV -18.65%E -7.77%K -13.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-24 22:30
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -15.91%E -4.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-24 22:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-02-24 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-02-24 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-02-24 22:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-02-24 22:30
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.41%1.6%2026-02-24 22:30