L’École des cotes

Barracas Central v Sarmiento de Junin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barracas Central (Local)

Prévision 39.23%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.769%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.22%39.17%39.33%41.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.402.5044.44%42.06%41.75%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sarmiento de Junin (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.14%3.68cote équitable
EV +6.94%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.36%
Croissance +0.164%

avec la cote maximale 3.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.34%27.19%27.02%29.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.9433.33%29.64%29.41%25.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.63%2.97cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.71%33.64%33.65%34.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.752.8840.00%36.30%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -8.59%E -3.69%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.34%EV +6.94%E +1.76%K +2.36%G +0.164%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.50%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 17:55
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.39%EV -3.49%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.12%EV +0.695%E +0.187%K +0.256%G +0.002%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -5.51%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 17:55
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -6.24%E -2.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 17:54
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 17:50
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 17:35
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 17:55
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 17:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 17:35
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.63%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:54
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:54
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 17:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 17:34
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -1.92%E -0.769%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -1.92%E -0.769%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:35
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -1.92%E -0.769%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:35
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 17:54
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 17:40
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 17:49
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 17:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 17:54
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 17:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-02 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.73%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-02 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.34%EV -10.95%E -4.82%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -10.98%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.44%EV -10.21%E -3.83%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 17:39
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 17:44
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -3.88%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:44
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-02 17:40
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 17:35
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -6.63%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 17:45
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -6.63%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -11.73%E -5.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-02 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -15.86%E -5.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.58%E -6.19%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-02 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.16%0.2%2026-04-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%0.6%2026-04-02 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%0.6%2026-04-02 17:40
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%0.6%2026-04-02 17:45
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.86%1.8%2026-04-02 17:55