A Escola das Odds

Banfield v Newells Old Boys

Início: 2026-02-21 22:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Banfield (Local)

Previsão 39.60%2.53odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -2.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.24%39.61%39.75%40.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.322.352.4347.62%43.14%42.55%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newells Old Boys (Visitante)

Previsão 27.76%3.60odd justa
EV +0.204%
Vantagem +0.056%
Kelly +0.078%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.19%27.75%27.70%28.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.333.353.6133.33%30.05%29.85%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.64%3.06odd justa
EV -0.436%
Vantagem -0.143%
Kelly -0.213%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.90%32.64%32.54%34.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.832.853.0540.82%35.33%35.09%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.87%EV -3.77%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV +0.204%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 22:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -0.074%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:39
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:40
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 22:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 22:09
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.99%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -3.40%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.43%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 22:10
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 22:00
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.50%EV -6.55%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -8.92%E -3.20%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:10
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -3.70%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 22:05
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 22:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 22:09
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 22:10
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.90%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.47%E -5.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 22:10
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.436%E -0.143%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 22:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.436%E -0.143%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 22:10
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 21:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 22:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -9.71%E -4.26%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 21:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.90%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 22:10
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.95%EV -11.69%E -5.24%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -3.70%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.95%EV -11.69%E -5.24%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -3.70%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 22:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-20 05:33
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 19:40
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -12.56%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.90%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -12.56%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:35
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.97%EV -14.07%E -6.48%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -12.56%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.49%EV -12.84%E -4.81%K -7.69%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 22:04
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.62%EV -16.84%E -8.02%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.42%EV -12.56%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.96%EV -20.02%E -8.17%K -13.81%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -14.51%E -4.71%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -9.58%E -3.46%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 21:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.88%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -15.34%E -5.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -10.90%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -16.73%E -5.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%0.7%2026-02-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%0.7%2026-02-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%0.7%2026-02-21 22:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%0.7%2026-02-21 22:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.72%1.6%2026-02-21 22:00